I'm working under the assumption that McCaffrey will be the most common No. Note: The main difference between a 12-team and a 10-team draft is the demand on positions is much less severe. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. My pick: For the second straight round, we were in on the running back fire sale. Jump to Pick: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Draft Recap. In those 11 games played including postseason Goedert averaged 11.8 fantasy points per game, which would have ranked as the TE8 from a season-long perspective. More Perfect Drafts: 2nd in a 12-Team ESPN | 10th in a 12-Team Yahoo | 4th in a 12-Team Yahoo | 7th in a 12-Team ESPN | 1st in a 12-Team Yahoo | 12th in a 12-Team ESPN | 8th in a 12-Team ESPN. Any receiver in a Tom Brady-led offense should be a sought-after commodity so consider me in on Gage in 2022. Round 8: Team Woods found another running back value in the eighth round with Clyde Edwards-Helaire. We fret this chore to a degree we shouldn't, perhaps because of the perceived importance of that precious first-round pick. The trickle-down effect is that the scoring differentials at each position interval (i.e. McKissic. Because this crew has never all been in the same league before, our snake draft was randomized in order. The talent is there, as is the opportunity. McKissic, RB, Washington Commanders, Round 12, Pick 10: Gus Edwards, RB, Baltimore Ravens, Round 13, Pick 3: Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons, Round 14, Pick 10: Corey Davis, WR, New York Jets, Round 15, Pick 3: San Francisco 49ers DST, Round 16, Pick 10: Matt Prater, K, Arizona Cardinals. Hamler, WR, Broncos 15.3: Alec Pierce, WR, Colts. Ill be doing mock drafts throughout the summer while offering scenarios and feedback for each position. Kupp proved in 2021 he could win at all three levels of the field en route to one of the most massive target shares we've seen. Our figurative bell-cow stud running back Michael Fabiano took the 32-year-old receiver about 10 rounds too early for my tastes. So, I pivoted to an upside running back option in Travis Etienne. Gage is coming off a stellar year after posting career-highs in yards per route run (1.96) and PFF receiving grade (76.0) while playing more on the outside. Not even just the red zone, Kirk Cousins shows a great rapport with him from inside the 5-yard line. Round 2: In a 10-team league, there are no bad options in the second round. 2 pick) Well mix in 10- and 16-team drafts at some point as well as a Superflex, non-PPR draft and auction. But all in all, he tends to only rise to the occasion for fantasy purposes when targets become available in the offense because of injuries to other players. Click here to sign up for PressBoxs free weekly email newsletter. We're talking about a player who's finished as a top-20 fantasy receiver each of the last four years. Lets take a look at our latest mock draft and player notes. Plus, he's currently dealing with a groin injury. So instead of having the team with the 1st overall pick get two in a row to end the 2nd round and start the 3rd, that last team to pick . His nine total rushing TDs ranked 12th in the league and nearly doubled his expected output (5.5, 30th) the sixth-highest difference at the position. That was 1.3 points more than Travis Kelce each week, and 3.4 points more than third-place finisher Rob Gronkowski. In this edition of the series, I'll be walking through a perfect draft from the third slot in a 10-team ESPN PPR league. Rookies James Cook and Kenneth Walker have an opportunity to play themselves into the lead back role, while Darrell Henderson, Melvin Gordon, and Rachaad White would all need an injury to reach their high-end outcomes. Mooney also finished the last four weeks of the season ninth in target share (27%) and fifth in route participation (95%). Round 3: We're still early enough in the draft that there aren't any egregious picks to discuss. Ekeler and Jefferson, by far the best two players remaining on my draft board, are high-floor, return-on-investment types, but as wide receivers typically fit that latter description best, I'm leaning there the deeper the league. Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. It is in this space annually that I provide you a handy roadmap to the first two rounds of your fantasy football draft, outlining the best options and showing how things might play out in subsequent rounds depending upon your picks. With more target competition around him and the emergence of Renfrow, he may no longer be the target hog that made him such a special Fantasy tight end in 2021. What do you think of this roster? My pick: We were back at it with another young receiver in the eighth round, this time snagging rookie Treylon Burks. On the flip side, it might be a bit frustrating to wait through the long turns in between your picks. His efficiency metrics left something to be desired, though he was 13th in fantasy points per game (9.9) and 15th in yards per route run. Leonard Fournette has some worried after showing up to training camp at a reported 260 pounds, but hes got plenty of time to get into shape before the season starts. 1 pick 3 RBs, No. You don't currently have any notifications. I dont think he can be ranked worse than RB15 considering thats where he finished as a rookie amid a split workload in a much worse offensive environment. For the second year in a row, the Atlanta Falcons finished with a 7-10 record, and for the third straight offseason, the team will have a top-10 pick in the draft.. Honorable mentions: RB Dameon Pierce, HOU (8.08); WR Darnell Mooney (8.09); RB Damien Harris, NE (9.05); RB J.K. Dobbins, BAL (6.10); QB Russell Wilson, DEN (10.09); QB Dak Prescott, DAL (11.05); RB Elijah Mitchell, SF (6.07). NFC East becomes first division since 1997 to have three tea Key takeaways and analysis from Super Wild Card Weekend. Mike Gesicki may see his target numbers dip in 2022 in a run-heavy offense alongside target magnets Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. Round 1 (Pick 4): This is the first spot where I'd deviate in picks depending upon the depth of the league. The Fantasy Football Today team got together to do a pick-by-pick draft and here's my full team from the No. Lets get started with the latest mock draft of the 2022 season. In the ninth round, I'm buying Renfrow at a price tag as if last year's breakout season didn't happen at all. Round 1, Pick 3 (3) - RB Christian McCaffrey, Panthers This is a home run. RB Brian Robinson, WAS (13.09)(Update: Robinson will likely miss the first month of the season due being shot twice in alleged robbery.) Well, fret no longer. I love that. Mike Clay breaks down each game from all angles, with projections and advice for key players. Answer (1 of 6): Either the first/second spot in the draft or one of the 8-10 spots. at I went very heavy at running back in this mock, starting with Austin Ekeler with my first pick. Round 9: The hate on Tyler Lockett is going too far. FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $150 in Free Bets. My next three picks were wide receivers who all should finish in the top 20. The mock drafts will assume that 12 teams are in the league with the following roster construction: quarterback, two running backs, two wide receivers, tight end, a flex (running back, wide. The Playbook: Week 18 A case can be made for as many as eight different players, bringing Chase and Harris from the earlier mentions and Swift from later considerations into the fray. As a big believer in drafting one of the sure-fire tight ends or (essentially) not drafting one at all, I was pumped to get Waller, but we have to acknowledge two things when it comes to his profile in 2022. 3. You wouldn't be wrong to pick Cooper Kupp or Justin Jefferson, and in fact, Jefferson would be my sneaky-bold pick at the No. Doesn't mean they'll end the season as that player but going into the draft they'll have the best odds at finishing in the top 5. That means you're most likely drafting towards the end of the first-round and are at the mercy of everyone making picks in front of you. My pick: With all of the young talent on our roster, we decided to select a high-scoring veteran as a safety net. Adams high level of play wont stop in Las Vegas, but his fantasy stock does get slightly dented going from Rodgers to Derek Carr. 1 overall pick are long shots, as Jonathan Taylor very clearly stands a step ahead of the rest of the player pool in any single-QB fantasy format (Josh Allen is a better choice in any two-quarterback or superflex league). One other twist that this analysis shows is that the early rounds are going to be very typical, there wont be a lot of decisions to be made, just stick to your player values and position strategy and youll be fine but since weve been doing this analysis, weve never seen the mid- to late-rounds be such a tumultuous twist of values. In a snake draft, each team has one pick per round and the picks go in a specific predetermined order. Tristan's picks: Chase/Swift (10-team league), Chase/Williams (12-team league). Round 5: Receivers dominated the fifth round, as they should. Johnson is dealing with a hip flexor, uncertainty at quarterback, and increased target competition with the arrival of George Pickens. His 3.2 YAC/reception ranked 41st of out 42 qualifying tight ends. For me, Chase is a clear top-eight-overall talent, and he fits the higher-floor description that wide receivers typically do, something I've written previously shouldn't be understated in these critical opening rounds. It's conceivable that a CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, Keenan Allen or Mark Andrews (in that order of my drafting preference) lasts to this position, especially in a 10-teamer, but embrace the gift RB2 handed to you if there's an early run on the receiving spots. For this fantasy football mock draft, I will be drafting from the 3rd position in a 10-team format with point-per-reception (PPR) scoring. Round 1 (Pick 9): In a 10-team league, strategizing around the 10-slot team comes into the equation here, as picking a wide receiver here might mean watching Cook and Mixon go 10th . SPORTS ILLUSTRATED is a registered trademark of ABG-SI LLC. It's important, and we certainly want to be sure to make the right one while avoiding costly mistakes. Wilson has always been an elite downfield passer he had the sixth-highest passer rating on throws of 20-plus air yards last season which plays heavily into Suttons strengths as a vertical threat. And 94% of his snaps came lined up in the slot or out wide in 2021, which is another advantage for creating mismatches. This is an actual league that is played out and contains 18-man rosters and starts the standard line-up of QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB, WR or TE), PK and DEF. Amari Cooper figures to be a target monster in a rather lackluster Cleveland receiving corps. When drafting a kicker, you want someone who plays for a good offense. WR Adam Thielen, MIN (6.09)You know in his prime, Thielen was a bad dude. Chase Claypools second-year breakout was inevitably halted by Ben Roethlisbergers lack of downfield throwing ability: On throws with 20-plus air yards, Big Ben graded 31st out of 38 qualifying QBs. That's perfectly fine when your first two selections are, say, Adams and Kelce. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Brown, WR, Eagles 4.10: Darren Waller, TE, Raiders 5.3: Amari Cooper, WR, Browns 6.10: Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals 7.3: Kareem Hunt, RB, Browns 8.10: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs 9.3: Hunter Renfrow, WR, Raiders 10.10: Rondale Moore, WR, Cardinals 11.3: Darrel Williams, RB, Cardinals 12.10: Gus Edwards, RB Ravens 13.3: Gerald Everett, TE, Chargers 14.10: K.J. While Penny's strong final month in 2021 is fresh in the minds of fantasy managers, he's also a player who spent the prior three-and-a-half years struggling to stay on the field. Renfrow is the bigger reach of the two. (See also: No. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. The trickle-down effect is that the scoring. Round 9, Pick 5: Dallas Goedert (TE PHI). Fantasy Football 3rd Pick in 12-Team Leagues Having the third overall pick in fantasy football drafts is usually a big advantage, guaranteeing drafters one of the very best players available. Those who pick Chase should prefer the running back here anyway, as it's pretty likely that every one of the positional top 15 will be off the board by this team's Round 3 pick, and while my 16th-ranked running back, Cam Akers, is a fine third-round pick for this team, anyone beneath him would represent a reach. Get started >>. To be eligible, a player must be out of high school for at least three years. Despite all his shortcomings as a passer, Jackson still finished the season second in expected fantasy points per game (23.8) and seventh in fantasy points per game (21.3). The best thing about a 10-team fantasy league is there are no bad teams. We omitted defenders and kickers as they're normally selected in the final two rounds. The Atlanta Falcons ended the 2022 season with a 7-10 record. Often thought of as a slot-only wideout, Gage split snaps 50/50 from the slot versus outside in 2021. If you are drafting early, work the waiver wire to your advantage if any major injuries arise. My biggest concern is that Gesicki has almost always underwhelmed after the catch which will likely be a large part of the Dolphins new-look offense. Tristan's picks: Kupp/Williams (10-team league), Kupp/Andrews (12-team league). He already operated as the teams No. He averaged an insane 10.1 targets, 6.1 receptions and 110.3 receiving yards per game, so wide back or no wide back matters very little. Covering Baltimore sports, from high school to the pros since 2006. With the first two picks going exactly how I expected them to, Ill go ahead and take 4for4s third-highest projected PPR running back in Alvin Kamara. He has, after all, missed 23 of the Carolina Panthers' 33 games the past two seasons. Their philosophical change on offense was forced out of necessity based on the injuries. The point of these mocks is to prepare for the unexpected. Walker might be behind Rashaad Penny on the depth chart right now, but it's only a matter of time before the second-round rookie overtakes the fragile veteran. Round 2 (Pick 15 in 10-team, Pick 19 in 12-team): The team that selects Henry almost assuredly will desire some safety from its second-round pick, and that probably means hoping for Lamb, Samuel or Hill among wide receivers. 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